Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (37 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 85
Defender wins (German): 102
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 839 | 1046 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 1117 | 36% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 896 | 928 | 45% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1082 | 52% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 929 | 63% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1115 | 998 | 66% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1015 | 75% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1053 | 45% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 947 | 917 | 54% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1152 | 33% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 986 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 931 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1147 | 986 | 72% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1032 | 992 | 56% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1032 | 34% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1316 | 12% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1316 | 901 | 92% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1316 | 1285 | 54% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 945 | 962 | 48% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1013 | 1223 | 23% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 977 | 71% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 934 | 61% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1041.5 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).