Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (38 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 109
Defender wins (German): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 927 | 71% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 837 | 1070 | 21% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1152 | 35% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1001 | 56% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 741 | 84% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1123 | 46% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 933 | 63% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1008 | 55% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1130 | 36% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 937 | 63% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 927 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 741 | 90% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1151 | 978 | 73% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 741 | 990 | 19% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 741 | 74% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1333 | 11% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1333 | 901 | 92% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1333 | 1286 | 57% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 979 | 41% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1106 | 33% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1069 | 1156 | 38% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 977 | 70% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 936 | 63% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1012.8 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).