Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 190 (40 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 110
Defender wins (German): 80
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2024-11-01 | | Won |
| 974 | 1198 | 22% | 2024-06-20 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2024-03-05 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2023-11-02 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-07-13 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2022-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-07-11 | | Won |
| 933 | 1017 | 38% | 2022-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2022-01-28 | | Won |
| 974 | 1063 | 37% | 2022-01-14 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1131 | 36% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1150 | 926 | 78% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-05-28 | | Won |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 2011-08-01 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2010-02-28 | | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-12-29 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1219 | 19% | 2007-05-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 902 | 86% | 2006-03-14 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-03-03 | | Lost |
| 960 | 980 | 47% | 2004-03-28 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1086 | 70% | 2004-03-13 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2003-06-21 | | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | | Won |
| 981 | 1120 | 31% | 2001-12-13 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2001-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 1997-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1997-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1997-06-04 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1997-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1031.2 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).