Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 190 (39 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 109
Defender wins (German): 80
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 903 | 71% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 837 | 986 | 30% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1170 | 28% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1001 | 51% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 973 | 58% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1095 | 50% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 934 | 61% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 973 | 1059 | 38% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1056 | 43% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 990 | 920 | 60% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1139 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1119 | 927 | 75% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 977 | 65% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 989 | 48% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 973 | 42% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1274 | 15% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1274 | 901 | 90% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1274 | 1287 | 48% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 971 | 980 | 49% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1036 | 969 | 60% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1123 | 31% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1068 | 1177 | 35% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1249 | 37% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1180 | 978 | 76% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 1244 | 25% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1048.8 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).