Tasimboko Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 964 | 61% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 964 | 48% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 947 | 59% | 2004-09-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 979 | 72% | 2002-10-13 | Lost |
| 881 | 998 | 34% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1160 | 31% | 1998-04-04 | Won |
| 1237 | 1263 | 46% | 1997-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1074.2 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).