Tasimboko Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 962 | 57% | 2004-09-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 979 | 72% | 2002-10-13 | Lost |
| 881 | 1065 | 26% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1173 | 29% | 1998-04-04 | Won |
| 1237 | 1283 | 43% | 1997-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1088.8 has a 46.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).