Tasimboko Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1070 | 46% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 939 | 60% | 2004-09-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 980 | 72% | 2002-10-13 | Lost |
| 881 | 1029 | 30% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1109 | 37% | 1998-04-04 | Won |
| 1237 | 1263 | 46% | 1997-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1095.4 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).