Tasimboko Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 986 | 58% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 962 | 57% | 2004-09-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 980 | 71% | 2002-10-13 | Lost |
| 881 | 1053 | 27% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1174 | 29% | 1998-04-04 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1067.1 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).