Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 901 | 50% | 2024-09-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 959 | 59% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 953 | 52% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1089 | 43% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 920 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 1020 | 39% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 1079 | 26% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1013 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1020 | 73% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
| 911 | 962 | 43% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
| 975 | 1057 | 38% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1008 | 69% | 2002-10-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 1057 | 38% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1089 | 50% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 977 | 68% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 1014.2 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).