Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 879 | 54% | 2024-09-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 959 | 60% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1010 | 54% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 920 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 911 | 1117 | 23% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1087 | 966 | 67% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 957 | 1013 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
| 930 | 962 | 45% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
| 944 | 1057 | 34% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 972 | 1029 | 42% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1010 | 61% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 977 | 71% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1002.2 vs 1006.5 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).