Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (28 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 881 | 56% | 2024-09-19 | Won |
| 978 | 959 | 53% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 971 | 1058 | 38% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1084 | 48% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 978 | 46% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1001 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 944 | 1117 | 27% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 905 | 76% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1012 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 1226 | 978 | 81% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 961 | 58% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
| 954 | 1057 | 36% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1008 | 69% | 2002-10-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 1010 | 45% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 977 | 76% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1012 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).