Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (33 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 78
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2025-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-09-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2022-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-12-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2009-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2009-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2003-10-08 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2002-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-05-18 | | Lost |
| 994 | 873 | 67% | 1999-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 1999-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 917 | 68% | 1999-02-01 | | Won |
| 944 | 981 | 45% | 1998-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 1997-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 1997-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 1997-08-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1005 vs 1000.3 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).