St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (5 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1144 | 25% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 919 | 55% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
| 830 | 1193 | 11% | 2001-12-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2001-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 950 vs 1076.8 has a 32.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).