A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 269 (50 on the archive and 219 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 135
Defender wins (Gurkha): 134
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 870 | 69% | 2025-09-17 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-09-12 | | Lost |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2024-12-28 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1102 | 50% | 2023-06-04 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2022-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2022-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2021-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2021-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2021-01-16 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-03-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-05-28 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2017-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1126 | 61% | 2015-02-19 | | Won |
| 1060 | 906 | 71% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2013-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2013-06-11 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-05-27 | | Won |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-08-02 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1063 | 42% | 2011-10-05 | | Won |
| 1130 | 1146 | 48% | 2011-04-16 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1253 | 20% | 2011-03-10 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1138 | 42% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-02-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2008-08-30 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2008-07-22 | | Won |
| 1065 | 1263 | 24% | 2007-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1141 | 40% | 2007-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1228 | 38% | 2006-10-06 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2005-01-23 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2005-01-23 | | Won |
| 987 | 1263 | 17% | 2004-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2004-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2000-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 1999-11-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1999-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1126 | 52% | 1999-08-01 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1031 | 45% | 1999-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-06 | | Won |
| 972 | 926 | 57% | 1999-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1071 | 42% | | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1057.1 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).