A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 266 (47 on the archive and 219 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 133
Defender wins (Gurkha): 133
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 881 | 63% | 2025-09-17 | Won |
| 867 | 997 | 32% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1102 | 58% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1023 | 1044 | 47% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1082 | 49% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1223 | 37% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1101 | 63% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1059 | 906 | 71% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1059 | 987 | 60% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 870 | 943 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 1045 | 45% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 975 | 1243 | 18% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1147 | 41% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1167 | 44% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1065 | 1283 | 22% | 2007-10-06 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1140 | 39% | 2007-10-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1195 | 42% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 987 | 1283 | 15% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 920 | 927 | 49% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 975 | 59% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1038 | 72% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1292 | 1283 | 51% | 1999-09-12 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1126 | 61% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1073 | 39% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 992 | 934 | 58% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1065 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1084 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1065.6 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).