A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Gurkha): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 966 | 38% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1128 | 1126 | 50% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 946 | 63% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1081 | 47% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 947 | 58% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 954 | 58% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1085 | 51% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 942 | 915 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1095 | 52% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 999 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1139 | 56% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 906 | 70% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 978 | 72% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1057 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 870 | 944 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1069 | 44% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1167 | 1022 | 70% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 958 | 1243 | 16% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1133 | 33% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 1311 | 26% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 920 | 931 | 48% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 958 | 60% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1041 | 63% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1135 | 1107 | 54% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1046 | 45% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 974 | 57% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1043 | 30% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1112 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1040.5 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).