Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (31 on the archive and 157 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 97
Defender wins (German): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1115 | 59% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 762 | 1034 | 17% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1095 | 40% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1117 | 1203 | 38% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1111 | 52% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1063 | 38% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1215 | 36% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1009 | 77% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1062 | 55% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 953 | 69% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1094 | 39% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1092 | 57% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1165 | 998 | 72% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1286 | 68% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 985 | 72% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 1156 | 830 | 87% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2001-10-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2000-12-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2000-06-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 789 | 83% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1096.1 vs 1036.7 has a 58.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).