Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1024 | 39% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1047 | 996 | 57% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1033 | 49% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 954 | 1057 | 36% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1151 | 45% | 2004-08-22 | Won |
| 1153 | 1196 | 44% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1040 | 1054 | 48% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1117 | 42% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1010 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1064.5 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).