Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 860 | 63% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 860 | 1033 | 27% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 957 | 1057 | 36% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 861 | 1085 | 22% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1205 | 40% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1045 | 50% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1080 | 47% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1024 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1058.9 has a 41.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).