Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Polish): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2023-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2013-08-06 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2012-09-12 | | Won |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2012-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2006-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1141 | 46% | 2004-08-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2003-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-11-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2001-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2000-12-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1051.6 has a 44.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).