Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 764 | 1032 | 18% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1057 | 39% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1152 | 45% | 2004-08-22 | Won |
| 1137 | 1189 | 43% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 1039 | 50% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1036 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.9 vs 1048 has a 44.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).