Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 991 | 1033 | 44% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 1057 | 30% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 961 | 973 | 48% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1140 | 46% | 2004-08-22 | Won |
| 1153 | 1077 | 61% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1077 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1061.7 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).