Nocturnal Attrition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (10 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 30
Defender wins (Italian): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
1208 | 1019 | 75% | 2020-01-02 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
1073 | 977 | 63% | 2014-10-20 | Won |
954 | 1068 | 34% | 2014-03-26 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
1033 | 1095 | 41% | 2005-05-05 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
1057 | 1066 | 49% | 2000-03-05 | Lost |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1037.7 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).