Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 900 | 973 | 40% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1181 | 1094 | 62% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 764 | 1032 | 18% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 974 vs 987.9 has a 48.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).