Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Norwegian): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-01-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-07-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 961 | 975 | 48% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 985 | 879 | 65% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 1135 | 969 | 72% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 889 | 904 | 48% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 953 | 59% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1066 | 907 | 71% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 914 | 59% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1275 | 1423 | 30% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 959 | 1066 | 35% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1243 | 1252 | 49% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1119 | 25% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-03 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1283 | 31% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 931 | 1098 | 28% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 996 | 951 | 56% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 963 | 68% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1105 | 1016 | 63% | 2009-06-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 862 | 60% | 2006-08-25 | Won |
| 944 | 1036 | 37% | 2003-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1068 | 31% | 2003-01-17 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1201 | 39% | 2002-10-23 | Won |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2002-09-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1015 | 67% | 2002-05-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 2001-09-01 | Lost |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1032.4 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).