Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Norwegian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 959 | 869 | 63% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 985 | 960 | 54% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 965 | 70% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 1050 | 47% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1078 | 920 | 71% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 943 | 979 | 45% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 912 | 59% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1273 | 1412 | 31% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 959 | 979 | 47% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1242 | 1336 | 37% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1035 | 32% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1113 | 26% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 951 | 56% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1103 | 1015 | 62% | 2009-06-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 862 | 60% | 2006-08-25 | Won |
| 924 | 1029 | 35% | 2003-01-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 1248 | 33% | 2002-10-23 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2002-09-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 978 | 73% | 2001-09-01 | Lost |
| 829 | 847 | 47% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1024.3 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).