Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 175 (18 on the archive and 157 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 96
Defender wins (French): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
981 | 961 | 53% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
942 | 916 | 54% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
953 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
992 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
971 | 971 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
992 | 1016 | 47% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
1056 | 1126 | 40% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
982 | 1088 | 35% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
1067 | 1158 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
1207 | 976 | 79% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
933 | 1007 | 40% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
1009 | 994 | 52% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1010.4 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).