Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (20 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 90
Defender wins (French): 89
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 955 | 58% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1007 | 932 | 61% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1001 | 57% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 992 | 948 | 56% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 880 | 63% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 952 | 1130 | 26% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1118 | 38% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 953 | 1087 | 32% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1118 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 914 | 69% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 954 | 81% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 933 | 1022 | 37% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 1030 | 40% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1044 | 58% | 2002-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 966 | 56% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1005.6 has a 52.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).