Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (Dutch): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1018 | 41% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1077 | 63% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 910 | 934 | 47% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 941 | 80% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1126 | 931 | 75% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1011 | 64% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1041 | 1133 | 37% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1142 | 28% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 951 | 69% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1108 | 994 | 66% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1209 | 1035 | 73% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1053 | 54% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1181 | 1047 | 68% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1182 | 957 | 79% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1099 | 37% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 994 | 50% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1047 | 58% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1015.6 has a 59.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).