Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (Dutch): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1015 | 40% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 928 | 927 | 50% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 895 | 81% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1106 | 931 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 1145 | 37% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 944 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 1080 | 69% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1003 | 58% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 983 | 68% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1209 | 1045 | 72% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1084 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1210 | 1048 | 72% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1141 | 957 | 74% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1223 | 23% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 983 | 51% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1022 has a 57.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).