Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 170 (34 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 86
Defender wins (Dutch): 83
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 855 | 83% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 932 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 1128 | 26% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1128 | 56% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1139 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 933 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1046 | 986 | 59% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1019 | 71% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1073 | 70% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1051 | 57% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1199 | 1052 | 70% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 930 | 68% | 2008-09-18 | Lost |
| 1243 | 957 | 84% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-04-27 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1042 | 45% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1269 | 1140 | 68% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1018.6 has a 60.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).