Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Dutch): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1208 | 889 | 86% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 933 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 978 | 46% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1172 | 978 | 75% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1071 | 1145 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 954 | 1144 | 25% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1148 | 1091 | 58% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 993 | 56% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1047 | 68% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1062 | 71% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1028 | 47% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1052 | 58% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 1036 | 75% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 931 | 65% | 2008-09-18 | Lost |
| 1135 | 957 | 74% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1189 | 26% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1047 | 42% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1293 | 1151 | 69% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1093.2 vs 1024.2 has a 59.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).