Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Dutch): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 932 | 996 | 41% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 873 | 82% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 933 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 946 | 995 | 43% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1114 | 995 | 66% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1071 | 1145 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1181 | 1091 | 63% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1061 | 65% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1062 | 71% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 1046 | 69% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1146 | 957 | 75% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1167 | 29% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1061 | 40% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1277 | 1152 | 67% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1029.7 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).