The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1030 | 52% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 1068 | 58% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1226 | 26% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1106 | 1052 | 58% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1063 | 969 | 63% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1063 | 37% | 2003-06-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1195 | 40% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1058.7 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).