The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1028 | 52% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1122 | 1068 | 58% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 1032 | 38% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1203 | 37% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1217 | 1048 | 73% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1136 | 43% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 1052 | 58% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1025 | 62% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2003-06-05 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1196 | 45% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1067.8 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).