The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (12 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 1020 | 51% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 947 | 1223 | 17% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1223 | 30% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1134 | 33% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1133 | 1187 | 42% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1078.5 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).