The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1018 | 54% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 978 | 1020 | 44% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1223 | 19% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1241 | 30% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1134 | 41% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1122 | 1187 | 41% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1070.1 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).