Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2025-08-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1033 | 44% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1056 | 43% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1025 | 916 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 995 | 75% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 933 | 1060 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1078 | 46% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1179 | 32% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 900 | 66% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1200 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 1144 | 26% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 978 | 58% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1082 | 1036 | 57% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1080 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 869 | 72% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 1118 | 29% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1163 | 974 | 75% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 894 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1107 | 50% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1167 | 985 | 74% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1130 | 50% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 910 | 1200 | 16% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1032.8 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).