Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1023 | 916 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1012 | 73% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1065 | 48% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 990 | 58% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 917 | 68% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1204 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 1144 | 25% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 940 | 66% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 978 | 54% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1113 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 870 | 71% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 1089 | 32% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 957 | 71% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1122 | 48% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2004-04-12 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1038 | 73% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1130 | 56% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1109 | 64% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 910 | 1204 | 16% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1031 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).