Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1014 | 47% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1026 | 917 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1117 | 26% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1143 | 34% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1055 | 51% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 904 | 69% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1204 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 986 | 56% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 1027 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1114 | 50% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 870 | 71% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 1034 | 40% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 952 | 70% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1101 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1044 | 30% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1123 | 47% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1068 | 41% | 2004-04-12 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1068 | 72% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1130 | 56% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1041 | 72% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 909 | 1204 | 15% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1037.1 has a 50.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).