ASL Scenario Archive

Canicatti

Games with no balance used/recorded: 37

Attacker wins (American): 13

Defender wins (German): 23

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (American): 1

Defender wins (German): 0

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
967	1077	35%	2025-09-05	Won
993	982	52%	2024-04-05	Lost
1040	968	60%	2022-04-21	Won
1014	916	64%	2022-01-16	Lost
1198	1028	73%	2021-10-11	Won
932	1135	24%	2021-05-22	Lost
974	1143	27%	2021-05-22	Lost
998	1025	46%	2021-03-25	Lost
1044	890	71%	2020-08-11	Won
1138	1113	54%	2020-08-08	Lost
1010	985	54%	2020-05-16	Lost
988	988	50%	2020-03-17	Lost
946	1170	22%	2019-11-09	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2019-02-24	Lost
947	1144	24%	2017-07-14	Won
974	1009	45%	2017-05-08	Won
1003	984	53%	2015-06-19	Won
1084	1003	61%	2013-11-09	Lost
1135	1113	53%	2012-10-05	Lost
1028	869	71%	2012-04-14	Won
962	1040	39%	2012-04-13	Won
1121	952	73%	2010-08-01	Won
987	1026	44%	2009-11-10	Lost
980	1101	33%	2007-03-17	Lost
892	1034	31%	2006-10-18	Lost
1105	1120	48%	2006-09-23	Lost
832	832	50%	2006-09-10	Lost
1002	1062	41%	2004-04-12	Lost
1172	1062	65%	2004-03-22	Lost
1159	1122	55%	2002-09-24	Lost
1209	967	80%	2002-07-19	Won
908	1170	18%	2002-03-29	Lost
1141	753	90%	2001-12-27	Lost
1101	1095	51%	2001-09-05	Won
1095	1101	49%	2001-08-21	Won
1021	1343	14%	2000-02-14	Lost
1018	1036	47%		Won

Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1039.1 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).