Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-11-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1124 | 991 | 68% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1239 | 1004 | 79% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 755 | 1239 | 6% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1283 | 37% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1113 | 55% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1139 | 27% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1057 | 50% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 941 | 917 | 53% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1135 | 38% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1252 | 18% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1200 | 34% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1025 | 54% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1145 | 1201 | 42% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 979 | 72% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 961 | 1095 | 32% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1045 | 48% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1079.9 has a 46.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).