Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-11-19 | Won |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1171 | 997 | 73% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1254 | 1024 | 79% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 733 | 1254 | 5% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1112 | 50% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1154 | 26% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 854 | 930 | 39% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1135 | 38% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1109 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1340 | 12% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1135 | 42% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1038 | 72% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1025 | 55% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1145 | 1189 | 44% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1067 | 50% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 980 | 73% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1077.6 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).