Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2025-11-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 998 | 70% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1227 | 992 | 79% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 750 | 1227 | 6% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1263 | 39% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1102 | 55% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 853 | 884 | 46% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 1135 | 34% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 1223 | 20% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1228 | 30% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1071 | 69% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 1233 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1150 | 1175 | 46% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 979 | 72% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1029 | 49% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1074.9 has a 47.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).