Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 989 | 59% | 2025-11-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 979 | 69% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1263 | 39% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 854 | 878 | 47% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1057 | 50% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 941 | 917 | 53% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 1135 | 40% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1253 | 18% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1174 | 37% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1068 | 71% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1034 | 52% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1145 | 1198 | 42% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 979 | 72% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 960 | 1095 | 31% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1032 | 50% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1078.8 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).