Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1049 | 45% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1149 | 947 | 76% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1274 | 1023 | 81% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 744 | 1274 | 5% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 956 | 54% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1114 | 50% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 854 | 950 | 37% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 890 | 917 | 46% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1135 | 38% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1329 | 13% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1154 | 40% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1177 | 983 | 75% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1025 | 55% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1200 | 42% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1067 | 48% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 981 | 73% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1028 | 51% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1083.7 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).