Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 339 (46 on the archive and 293 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 171
Defender wins (Russian): 168
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1117 | 1088 | 54% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
988 | 890 | 64% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
1351 | 1307 | 56% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
920 | 890 | 54% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1039 | 802 | 80% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
975 | 1008 | 45% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
1137 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1008 | 967 | 56% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
943 | 984 | 44% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
1057 | 1013 | 56% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
1055 | 927 | 68% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
954 | 1011 | 42% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
1150 | 1307 | 29% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
949 | 1175 | 21% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
1181 | 931 | 81% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
1069 | 1225 | 29% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1027 | 1012 | 52% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
1099 | 1087 | 52% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
987 | 992 | 49% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
976 | 988 | 48% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
980 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
1083 | 1114 | 46% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
948 | 1008 | 41% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
1020 | 1097 | 39% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
1003 | 948 | 58% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
971 | 992 | 47% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
978 | 1197 | 22% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
1104 | 1142 | 45% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
1090 | 905 | 74% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
917 | 994 | 39% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
994 | 987 | 51% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
985 | 992 | 49% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
1227 | 1001 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1036.9 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).