Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 879 | 63% | 2026-02-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-10-15 | Won |
| 1045 | 1081 | 45% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1240 | 1218 | 53% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1135 | 64% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1127 | 53% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 879 | 67% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1252 | 24% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 926 | 975 | 43% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1096 | 1135 | 44% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1252 | 20% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 961 | 1055 | 37% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1056 | 35% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1057 | 985 | 60% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 1084 | 46% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1079 | 922 | 71% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
| 949 | 1011 | 41% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1038 | 1052 | 48% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1152 | 1252 | 36% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 894 | 1081 | 25% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 892 | 1239 | 12% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 927 | 76% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1226 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 1012 | 42% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1045 | 58% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 986 | 46% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1108 | 41% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 926 | 1098 | 27% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1142 | 69% | 2010-05-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 983 | 64% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1007 | 957 | 57% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 989 | 50% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1176 | 24% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
| 1105 | 1159 | 42% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 917 | 975 | 42% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 1078 | 38% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1283 | 1220 | 59% | 2005-02-05 | Won |
| 984 | 982 | 50% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 999 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2003-10-31 | Lost |
| 830 | 1201 | 11% | 2002-12-20 | Won |
| 953 | 1201 | 19% | 2002-03-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 985 | 62% | 2002-01-16 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2001-08-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1283 | 15% | 2001-07-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1217 | 25% | | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1064.2 has a 46.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).