Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 997 | 936 | 59% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 936 | 59% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1066 | 58% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1001 | 875 | 67% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1207 | 1272 | 41% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1272 | 18% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 847 | 74% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 975 | 50% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1036 | 50% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1137 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 945 | 59% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 942 | 984 | 44% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1006 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 961 | 65% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 859 | 1095 | 20% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 925 | 69% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
| 978 | 1011 | 45% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 990 | 959 | 54% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1272 | 33% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 965 | 1148 | 26% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1083 | 64% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1194 | 931 | 82% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1204 | 29% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1026 | 60% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 932 | 1009 | 39% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 987 | 48% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1057 | 55% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
| 907 | 1107 | 24% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 948 | 975 | 46% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
| 1095 | 984 | 65% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1001 | 958 | 56% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1136 | 29% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
| 1103 | 1151 | 43% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 905 | 75% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 916 | 955 | 44% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 920 | 60% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 967 | 53% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
| 844 | 1041 | 24% | 2002-12-20 | Won |
| 940 | 1041 | 36% | 2002-03-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1214 | 37% | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1032.8 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).