Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 975 | 1131 | 29% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1099 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 971 | 63% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 846 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 981 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1220 | 28% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 975 | 1131 | 29% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1174 | 34% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 1009 | 41% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1233 | 54% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1097 | 59% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 1074.1 has a 42.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).