My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (7 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2013-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2005-11-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2003-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2002-12-27 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 980.6 has a 54.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).