My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2013-08-15 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1033 | 73% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1048 | 1033 | 52% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 982 | 847 | 69% | 2003-02-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2002-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 940 has a 64.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).