My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (7 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2013-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2005-11-26 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2003-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2002-12-27 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 984.7 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).