Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1093 | 970 | 67% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 951 | 54% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 945 | 1120 | 27% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1133 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1218 | 30% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1130 | 48% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 1013 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1344 | 1010 | 87% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 1046 | 1042 | 51% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
| 955 | 1049 | 37% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1118 | 1344 | 21% | 2004-06-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1114 | 54% | 2004-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1071.1 has a 49.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).