Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2023-12-02 | | Won |
| 948 | 1034 | 38% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2022-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-04-24 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1183 | 26% | 2011-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1146 | 32% | 2011-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1141 | 42% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 959 | 1130 | 27% | 2011-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2009-08-15 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-07-26 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1010 | 77% | 2009-06-25 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1042 | 51% | 2005-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2005-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2004-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1115 | 56% | 2004-04-23 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1076.5 has a 43.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).