Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 956 | 54% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 950 | 62% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1102 | 51% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1107 | 1102 | 51% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1045 | 52% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1070 | 44% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1108 | 26% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 890 | 928 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1064 | 55% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1177 | 25% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 918 | 59% | 2004-01-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1130 | 50% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1061 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).