Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1207 | 50% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 953 | 61% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1075 | 57% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1075 | 57% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1044 | 55% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1069 | 42% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 1103 | 27% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 890 | 927 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1218 | 40% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1073 | 54% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1265 | 1174 | 63% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1206 | 28% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1130 | 56% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1071.9 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).