Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 998 | 55% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1092 | 53% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1092 | 53% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1045 | 52% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1074 | 47% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1013 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1125 | 24% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 890 | 928 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1132 | 45% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1104 | 70% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1128 | 47% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1059.9 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).