Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 874 | 71% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1066 | 58% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1066 | 58% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1068 | 50% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 1137 | 23% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 889 | 927 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1283 | 42% | 2004-05-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1219 | 39% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1099 | 1073 | 54% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1294 | 1159 | 69% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1130 | 54% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1070.8 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).