Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 362 (82 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 187
Defender wins (Russian): 174
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1136 | 1129 | 51% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 936 | 905 | 54% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1124 | 43% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 901 | 71% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1213 | 1244 | 46% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1018 | 966 | 57% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1188 | 910 | 83% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1110 | 43% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1115 | 944 | 73% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
| 955 | 991 | 45% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 745 | 944 | 24% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 970 | 745 | 79% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1188 | 24% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 1036 | 42% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 955 | 52% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1091 | 57% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1130 | 26% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1111 | 41% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 933 | 65% | 2019-08-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 1058 | 56% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 946 | 1062 | 34% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1101 | 51% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 1149 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 1149 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 931 | 67% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 942 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1188 | 24% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1001 | 62% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
| 1310 | 1044 | 82% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1259 | 1179 | 61% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 1310 | 20% | 2015-03-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 991 | 52% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1260 | 50% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-01-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1087 | 39% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 1188 | 24% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 933 | 57% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 987 | 58% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 837 | 941 | 35% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
| 931 | 941 | 49% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1018 | 61% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1047 | 60% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 977 | 56% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 851 | 72% | 2010-07-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 1003 | 57% | 2010-05-29 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1022 | 39% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 991 | 992 | 50% | 2009-04-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 968 | 55% | 2009-02-23 | Won |
| 1400 | 982 | 92% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1088 | 1310 | 22% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1400 | 991 | 91% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1070 | 36% | 2007-05-16 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 862 | 1007 | 30% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 1007 | 30% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 1143 | 892 | 81% | 2006-10-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1103 | 52% | 2006-09-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1006 | 67% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-17 | Lost |
| 976 | 1310 | 13% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2005-12-02 | Won |
| 1129 | 1027 | 64% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1129 | 1003 | 67% | 2005-04-28 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1026 | 59% | 2005-02-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1275 | 30% | 2005-02-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Lost |
| 918 | 1007 | 37% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (38 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1047.6 has a 49.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).