Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 375 (85 on the archive and 290 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 196
Defender wins (Russian): 178
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 924 | 60% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 927 | 67% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 1150 | 1149 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 935 | 883 | 57% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1115 | 49% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1214 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 892 | 68% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1016 | 945 | 60% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1233 | 1243 | 49% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1195 | 904 | 84% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1108 | 43% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 938 | 67% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
| 954 | 865 | 63% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 952 | 788 | 72% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1037 | 46% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 966 | 50% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1091 | 65% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1136 | 26% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1111 | 38% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1073 | 889 | 74% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 933 | 67% | 2019-08-05 | Won |
| 1205 | 1060 | 70% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 971 | 1045 | 40% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 1101 | 49% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 1150 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 1150 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 989 | 927 | 59% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 957 | 942 | 52% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1002 | 62% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
| 1302 | 1062 | 80% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 923 | 1158 | 21% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1203 | 1158 | 56% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1080 | 1302 | 22% | 2015-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 865 | 69% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1310 | 35% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-01-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 1050 | 51% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 933 | 57% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 987 | 58% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 838 | 924 | 38% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
| 936 | 924 | 52% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1093 | 1018 | 61% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1024 | 63% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 977 | 56% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 852 | 72% | 2010-07-08 | Won |
| 1004 | 979 | 54% | 2010-05-29 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1023 | 39% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 865 | 992 | 32% | 2009-04-08 | Lost |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2009-02-23 | Won |
| 1088 | 1302 | 23% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1405 | 982 | 92% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1405 | 865 | 96% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1070 | 37% | 2007-05-16 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 862 | 988 | 33% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 988 | 33% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2006-10-14 | Won |
| 1121 | 1205 | 38% | 2006-09-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1009 | 69% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-17 | Lost |
| 977 | 1302 | 13% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1022 | 45% | 2005-12-02 | Won |
| 1149 | 1030 | 66% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2005-04-28 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1042 | 57% | 2005-02-27 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1254 | 37% | 2005-02-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Lost |
| 918 | 988 | 40% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (39 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1041.9 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).