Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 388 (94 on the archive and 295 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 204
Defender wins (Russian): 184
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2025-11-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2025-02-21 | Lost | |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2025-02-11 | Lost | |
| 1037 | 951 | 62% | 2025-01-03 | Won | |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2024-11-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2024-10-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-02-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2024-01-15 | Lost | |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2023-10-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-06-24 | Won | |
| 1167 | 893 | 83% | 2023-06-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2023-06-22 | Won | |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2023-06-22 | Won | |
| 1099 | 905 | 75% | 2023-06-15 | A | Won |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-05-27 | Lost | |
| 1078 | 1152 | 40% | 2022-12-29 | Won | |
| 1029 | 975 | 58% | 2022-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won | |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-07-06 | Won | |
| 780 | 975 | 25% | 2022-06-29 | Lost | |
| 894 | 780 | 66% | 2022-02-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2022-01-18 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1047 | 42% | 2021-11-12 | Lost | |
| 967 | 965 | 50% | 2021-08-06 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 1105 | 46% | 2020-04-14 | Won | |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2020-03-27 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-02-08 | Lost | |
| 916 | 1138 | 22% | 2020-02-04 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-12-27 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-08-05 | Won | |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-08-01 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1018 | 58% | 2019-04-30 | Lost | |
| 1018 | 1074 | 42% | 2019-04-18 | Lost | |
| 1051 | 1054 | 50% | 2019-03-09 | Won | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-01-20 | Lost | |
| 951 | 1152 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost | |
| 951 | 1152 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2018-11-03 | Lost | |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-10-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2018-09-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2018-02-09 | Won | |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-05-07 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-08-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2016-07-20 | Won | |
| 1202 | 1164 | 55% | 2016-04-02 | Won | |
| 1120 | 1219 | 36% | 2015-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-11-07 | Lost | |
| 1202 | 1240 | 45% | 2014-10-12 | Lost | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-01-08 | Won | |
| 1048 | 1063 | 48% | 2013-03-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2012-11-19 | Lost | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2012-08-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2012-08-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2012-08-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2012-06-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 841 | 71% | 2012-05-28 | Won | |
| 907 | 841 | 59% | 2012-05-10 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1018 | 63% | 2012-03-16 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-01-22 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-10-29 | Won | |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-07-08 | Won | |
| 1013 | 990 | 53% | 2010-05-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2010-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2010-02-28 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2009-08-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2009-04-08 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 987 | 53% | 2009-02-23 | Won | |
| 1435 | 973 | 93% | 2008-09-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-09-05 | Won | |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-09-05 | Won | |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2008-05-27 | Won | |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2007-05-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2007-04-09 | Won | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2007-01-28 | Lost | |
| 862 | 1051 | 25% | 2007-01-19 | Lost | |
| 862 | 1051 | 25% | 2007-01-19 | Lost | |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2006-12-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2006-10-14 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1030 | 56% | 2006-09-16 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 1139 | 54% | 2006-09-01 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-04-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2006-04-17 | Lost | |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2006-03-09 | Won | |
| 1151 | 1219 | 40% | 2005-12-28 | Won | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2005-12-02 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2005-04-28 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1060 | 71% | 2005-04-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2005-02-27 | Lost | |
| 1100 | 1317 | 22% | 2005-02-11 | Won | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-02-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-02-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1043.8 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).