Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 355 (77 on the archive and 278 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 162
Defender wins (Russian): 192
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
966 | 961 | 51% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
1043 | 1065 | 47% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1062 | 890 | 73% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
1216 | 1266 | 43% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
1075 | 994 | 61% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
1144 | 914 | 79% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
1049 | 1168 | 34% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
802 | 1168 | 11% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
1032 | 802 | 79% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
967 | 977 | 49% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
1109 | 1096 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
1083 | 1113 | 46% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
998 | 933 | 59% | 2019-08-05 | Won |
938 | 1014 | 39% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
1086 | 1101 | 48% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
957 | 1157 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
957 | 1157 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
1059 | 1013 | 57% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
954 | 942 | 52% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
1089 | 1003 | 62% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
1153 | 1197 | 44% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
1039 | 1307 | 18% | 2015-03-12 | Lost |
1001 | 1006 | 49% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1153 | 1327 | 27% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-01-08 | Won |
1010 | 1087 | 39% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
984 | 927 | 58% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
1087 | 984 | 64% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
1087 | 984 | 64% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
1045 | 988 | 58% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
837 | 890 | 42% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
987 | 890 | 64% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
1115 | 1018 | 64% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
1121 | 1083 | 55% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
1019 | 979 | 56% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-07-08 | Won |
1017 | 1024 | 49% | 2010-05-29 | Won |
1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
943 | 989 | 43% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
1006 | 992 | 52% | 2009-04-08 | Lost |
1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-23 | Won |
1360 | 983 | 90% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
1088 | 1307 | 22% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
1360 | 1006 | 88% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
967 | 1060 | 37% | 2007-05-16 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
862 | 992 | 32% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
862 | 992 | 32% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
1169 | 1006 | 72% | 2006-10-14 | Won |
925 | 1007 | 38% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2006-04-17 | Lost |
979 | 1307 | 13% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
992 | 1022 | 46% | 2005-12-02 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2005-04-28 | Lost |
925 | 1026 | 36% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
1142 | 1273 | 32% | 2005-02-11 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-02-10 | Lost |
919 | 992 | 40% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1051.3 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).