Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 382 (88 on the archive and 294 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 199
Defender wins (Russian): 182
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 | 1100 | 51% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1005 | 940 | 59% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1033 | 909 | 67% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 1177 | 47% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 936 | 890 | 57% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1149 | 48% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1044 | 892 | 71% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1017 | 918 | 64% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1180 | 1243 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1143 | 904 | 80% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1100 | 45% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 764 | 1044 | 17% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 764 | 74% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1039 | 43% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 950 | 52% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1091 | 64% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1163 | 23% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1110 | 38% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 934 | 63% | 2019-08-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 1061 | 69% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1050 | 996 | 58% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 996 | 1050 | 42% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1034 | 46% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 1151 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 951 | 1151 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 937 | 53% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 987 | 57% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
| 1329 | 1062 | 82% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1274 | 1154 | 67% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1074 | 1329 | 19% | 2015-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 947 | 58% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1242 | 55% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-01-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 1052 | 50% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 927 | 58% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 986 | 58% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 837 | 873 | 45% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
| 928 | 873 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1018 | 61% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1028 | 63% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 976 | 56% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-07-08 | Won |
| 988 | 978 | 51% | 2010-05-29 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1060 | 34% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 947 | 992 | 44% | 2009-04-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 970 | 52% | 2009-02-23 | Won |
| 1416 | 982 | 92% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1329 | 20% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1416 | 947 | 94% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1070 | 37% | 2007-05-16 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 862 | 1052 | 25% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 1052 | 25% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 972 | 72% | 2006-10-14 | Won |
| 1050 | 1029 | 53% | 2006-09-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1200 | 42% | 2006-09-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 1008 | 73% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1329 | 13% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2005-12-02 | Won |
| 1177 | 1029 | 70% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1177 | 983 | 75% | 2005-04-28 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1064 | 54% | 2005-02-27 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1247 | 33% | 2005-02-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-02-10 | Lost |
| 914 | 1052 | 31% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (39 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1046.1 has a 50.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).