Kempf at Melikhovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 389 (94 on the archive and 295 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 204
Defender wins (Russian): 184
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2025-11-11 | Won |
| 1106 | 1094 | 52% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1172 | 47% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 936 | 940 | 49% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1146 | 52% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1085 | 893 | 75% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 1017 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1218 | 1244 | 46% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1131 | 904 | 79% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 999 | 58% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 1099 | 30% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 904 | 780 | 67% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 989 | 1047 | 42% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 884 | 62% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1105 | 44% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 947 | 1121 | 27% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1121 | 34% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1043 | 934 | 65% | 2019-08-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1073 | 66% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 995 | 59% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 995 | 1060 | 41% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1054 | 48% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 1152 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 951 | 1152 | 24% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 988 | 44% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 947 | 937 | 51% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 1005 | 56% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
| 1234 | 1421 | 25% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1208 | 52% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1099 | 1234 | 31% | 2015-03-12 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1099 | 37% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1220 | 50% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-01-08 | Won |
| 1048 | 974 | 60% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 920 | 59% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-08-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 985 | 58% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 836 | 843 | 49% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
| 949 | 843 | 65% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 1018 | 63% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1003 | 68% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 976 | 56% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-07-08 | Won |
| 1160 | 984 | 73% | 2010-05-29 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1135 | 24% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1029 | 63% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 989 | 65% | 2009-04-08 | Lost |
| 1005 | 987 | 53% | 2009-02-23 | Won |
| 1430 | 972 | 93% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1090 | 1234 | 30% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1068 | 61% | 2008-09-05 | Won |
| 1430 | 1099 | 87% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 974 | 1040 | 41% | 2007-05-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2007-04-09 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 862 | 998 | 31% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 998 | 31% | 2007-01-19 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2006-12-10 | Won |
| 1169 | 952 | 78% | 2006-10-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1030 | 54% | 2006-09-16 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1189 | 47% | 2006-09-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1076 | 63% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2006-04-17 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1153 | 37% | 2006-03-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1234 | 38% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1022 | 44% | 2005-12-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1034 | 69% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2005-04-28 | Lost |
| 1092 | 967 | 67% | 2005-02-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1313 | 29% | 2005-02-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-02-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1058.7 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).