Lend-Lease Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (26 on the archive and 106 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 75
Defender wins (German): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 1316 | 1299 | 52% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1061 | 45% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2016-06-29 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1193 | 43% | 2016-04-30 | Tied |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1121 | 63% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 1407 | 977 | 92% | 2006-09-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1082 | 45% | 2006-08-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2006-04-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 1316 | 9% | 2006-03-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1110 | 40% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1316 | 977 | 88% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 1316 | 977 | 88% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-02-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 983 | 40% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1121 | 41% | 2004-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1108.4 vs 1085.5 has a 53.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).