Lend-Lease Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (28 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 78
Defender wins (German): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 1333 | 1301 | 55% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1052 | 46% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 941 | 76% | 2016-06-29 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1282 | 31% | 2016-04-30 | Tied |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 999 | 61% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 1109 | 52% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1151 | 57% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 1419 | 996 | 92% | 2006-09-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1103 | 42% | 2006-08-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1103 | 52% | 2006-04-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 1333 | 8% | 2006-03-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1122 | 37% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1333 | 996 | 87% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 1333 | 996 | 87% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2005-04-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-02-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 1032 | 34% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1120 | 41% | 2004-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1114.4 vs 1093.1 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).