Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (16 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1050 | 47% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 764 | 82% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1038 | 69% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1122 | 1050 | 60% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 830 | 1189 | 11% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1120 | 1189 | 40% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 995.8 vs 1031.1 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).