Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (17 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 72
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1289 | 1115 | 73% | 2026-10-07 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-11-30 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2022-12-26 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2022-12-26 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 847 | 1000 | 29% | 2017-12-13 | | Won |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2016-12-10 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2015-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2014-07-23 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2008-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2006-01-25 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2003-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2002-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 1998-07-01 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 1030.1 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).