Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-11-30 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-12-26 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 856 | 1000 | 30% | 2017-12-13 | | Won |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2016-12-10 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2015-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1033 | 59% | 2014-07-23 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2008-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2006-01-25 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1159 | 13% | 2003-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2002-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 1998-07-01 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 985.2 vs 1024.9 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).