Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (16 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1192 | 27% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1038 | 73% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1068 | 58% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1142 | 1139 | 50% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 1049.1 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).