The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 498 (102 on the archive and 396 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 232
Defender wins (German): 264
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2025-08-08 | Lost |
| 960 | 940 | 53% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1122 | 48% | 2025-01-19 | Lost |
| 764 | 1022 | 18% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1019 | 991 | 54% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1019 | 46% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 991 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1036 | 71% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1190 | 29% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1015 | 54% | 2024-01-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 909 | 1030 | 33% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 1033 | 44% | 2022-10-14 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1006 | 72% | 2021-10-04 | Won |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 978 | 1124 | 30% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 935 | 1076 | 31% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1159 | 33% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 925 | 58% | 2020-05-10 | Won |
| 925 | 909 | 52% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-02-18 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2020-02-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1106 | 58% | 2020-01-23 | Won |
| 1106 | 1163 | 42% | 2020-01-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1150 | 56% | 2020-01-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1035 | 70% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1214 | 35% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1034 | 63% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 924 | 1032 | 35% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 987 | 1056 | 40% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1212 | 41% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 951 | 1359 | 9% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 964 | 912 | 57% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 1290 | 1041 | 81% | 2016-12-22 | Lost |
| 764 | 974 | 23% | 2016-08-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-11 | Lost |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2016-06-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-03-06 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 926 | 63% | 2015-09-20 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1163 | 42% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1038 | 69% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1006 | 868 | 69% | 2014-11-02 | Won |
| 1209 | 1158 | 57% | 2014-10-14 | Tied |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2014-09-01 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-03-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1020 | 54% | 2011-12-16 | Won |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2011-11-25 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1092 | 59% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 913 | 986 | 40% | 2011-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-07-29 | Won |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-03-18 | Won |
| 951 | 1188 | 20% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1329 | 24% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1081 | 60% | 2008-11-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 957 | 76% | 2008-11-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1151 | 41% | 2008-02-21 | Won |
| 903 | 1009 | 35% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1066 | 47% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 862 | 931 | 40% | 2006-09-02 | Won |
| 1041 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-08-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 916 | 72% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 1041 | 70% | 2006-06-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 928 | 1130 | 24% | 2003-09-12 | Lost |
| 928 | 1054 | 33% | 2003-08-17 | Lost |
| 1046 | 914 | 68% | 2001-03-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2000-07-24 | Won |
| 1070 | 1050 | 53% | 2000-07-17 | Won |
| 930 | 1152 | 22% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1064 | 63% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 1046 | 44% | 1998-06-18 | Won |
| 872 | 1036 | 28% | 1997-06-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1997-01-21 | Lost |
Attacking (49 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1031.7 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).