Point D'Appui
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1078 | 33% | 2026-03-29 | Won |
| 891 | 891 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1161 | 909 | 81% | 2021-04-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1018 | 52% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-04-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 949 | 58% | 2021-04-07 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1122 | 64% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1092 | 57% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 933 | 980 | 43% | 2021-04-02 | Won |
| 939 | 985 | 43% | 2021-04-02 | Won |
| 1221 | 1227 | 49% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1052 | 47% | 2015-07-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 1146 | 1003 | 69% | 2013-09-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
| 1202 | 1015 | 75% | 2010-08-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1152 | 26% | 2008-02-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1006 | 47% | 2006-10-29 | Won |
| 833 | 1076 | 20% | 2003-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1014 vs 1021.8 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).