Point D'Appui
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (24 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (American): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2026-03-29 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-04-21 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-09-29 | | Won |
| 1160 | 903 | 81% | 2021-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1018 | 55% | 2021-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1037 | 48% | 2021-04-14 | | Lost |
| 987 | 949 | 55% | 2021-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1243 | 1121 | 67% | 2021-04-06 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-04-05 | | Lost |
| 966 | 980 | 48% | 2021-04-02 | | Won |
| 940 | 985 | 44% | 2021-04-02 | | Won |
| 1243 | 1224 | 53% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-07-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2014-03-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-08-17 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1015 | 73% | 2010-08-27 | | Won |
| 973 | 1152 | 26% | 2008-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2006-10-29 | | Won |
| 832 | 1156 | 13% | 2003-03-17 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1030.3 has a 47.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).