Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 861 | 79% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 988 | 1072 | 38% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 957 | 74% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1004 | 68% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 988 | 945 | 56% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 988 | 945 | 56% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1302 | 19% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1051 | 81% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1027.5 has a 57.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).