Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (15 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 998 | 69% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1026 | 60% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1018 | 47% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 947 | 76% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 952 | 73% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1015 | 48% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 998 | 1015 | 48% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1118 | 984 | 68% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1234 | 26% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1056 | 74% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1343 | 19% | 2004-01-30 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2003-08-05 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1062.1 has a 49.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).