Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 949 | 72% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1046 | 1019 | 54% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 977 | 72% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1163 | 974 | 75% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 932 | 66% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 932 | 66% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1067 | 48% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 984 | 68% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 1329 | 17% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1055 | 83% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2003-08-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1038.1 has a 54.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).