Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (15 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2023-10-08 | | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2016-07-25 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1061 | 59% | 2014-11-09 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2013-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2011-08-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 960 | 60% | 2007-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 960 | 60% | 2007-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2006-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 984 | 69% | 2006-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2004-01-30 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2003-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-06-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1048.5 has a 49.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).