Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1026 | 49% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1065 | 1018 | 57% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1096 | 952 | 70% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 950 | 66% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 950 | 66% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 984 | 68% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1253 | 24% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1056 | 76% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2003-08-05 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1035.6 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).