The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 969 | 63% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 776 | 93% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 847 | 1014 | 28% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1094 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | Won |
| 1121 | 955 | 72% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1052 | 45% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 1999-06-09 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1008.7 has a 54.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).