The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 762 | 92% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 846 | 1014 | 28% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1093 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 954 | 66% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 1999-06-09 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1006.5 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).