Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-07-12 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2026-05-05 | Tied |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-07-16 | Lost |
| 979 | 1009 | 46% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 918 | 85% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 992 | 43% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-01-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 1120 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1120 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 988 | 1036 | 43% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1015 | 76% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2001-03-03 | Won |
| 1129 | 1065 | 59% | 1993-07-30 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1077 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.9 vs 1022.6 has a 56.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).