Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2022-12-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 971 | 65% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1076 | 52% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 953 | 1017 | 41% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 866 | 1018 | 29% | 1995-05-31 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1092 | 38% | 1994-05-28 | Won |
| 866 | 1082 | 22% | 1988-03-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1082 | 22% | 1988-03-06 | Won |
| 992 | 1082 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 983.9 vs 1050 has a 40.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).