The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (5 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
1145 | 1115 | 54% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
1273 | 1142 | 68% | 2004-06-30 | Won |
1057 | 890 | 72% | 1998-10-11 | Won |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1998-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1149.6 vs 1051 has a 63.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).