The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (7 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1122 | 32% | 2026-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2014-09-30 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1156 | 72% | 2004-06-30 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 944 | 67% | 1998-10-11 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 1998-01-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1059.7 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).