The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 1006 | 1151 | 30% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1057 | 43% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 848 | 1240 | 9% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1117 | 46% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1075 | 1103 | 46% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1054.4 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).