The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1268 | 747 | 95% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 870 | 1240 | 11% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1103 | 43% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1049.8 has a 50.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).