The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1209 | 753 | 93% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1015 | 49% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 872 | 1240 | 11% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1094 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 1088 | 46% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1047 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).