Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (23 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 95
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 824 | 1198 | 10% | 2025-12-23 | Lost |
| 869 | 917 | 43% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 938 | 65% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 942 | 988 | 43% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1079 | 51% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1036 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1140 | 57% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1012 | 76% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1173 | 43% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 2001-01-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1140 | 48% | 1999-10-06 | Won |
| 1263 | 1026 | 80% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 831 | 1032 | 24% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 1038.2 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).