Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (17 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 74
Defender wins (German): 98
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 917 | 48% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 938 | 66% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 926 | 989 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1075 | 52% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 965 | 1029 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1056 | 55% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1122 | 49% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1122 | 30% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
| 847 | 1131 | 16% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 997.8 vs 1024.5 has a 46.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).