Clearing Colleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 285 (111 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 136
Defender wins (German): 148
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
970 | 921 | 57% | 2023-11-20 | Won |
1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2023-11-11 | Won |
1090 | 1069 | 53% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
1036 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
984 | 1058 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
1090 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-06-16 | Won |
953 | 971 | 47% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
996 | 865 | 68% | 2023-06-06 | Lost |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-04-18 | Won |
1065 | 1071 | 49% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
1015 | 1187 | 27% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
858 | 1010 | 29% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
1063 | 1030 | 55% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
949 | 1063 | 34% | 2022-06-30 | Lost |
949 | 937 | 52% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2022-05-02 | Lost |
971 | 1131 | 28% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
865 | 916 | 43% | 2021-12-26 | Lost |
1056 | 1005 | 57% | 2021-12-22 | Lost |
1055 | 979 | 61% | 2021-12-13 | Lost |
1013 | 937 | 61% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
1002 | 1012 | 49% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
1011 | 986 | 54% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-07 | Lost |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1164 | 1131 | 55% | 2021-01-24 | Won |
1061 | 1007 | 58% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
937 | 1065 | 32% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1141 | 945 | 76% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-10-15 | Won |
1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2020-09-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
1178 | 858 | 86% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
1178 | 858 | 86% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
937 | 1175 | 20% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
858 | 937 | 39% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
858 | 937 | 39% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
937 | 1045 | 35% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
985 | 937 | 57% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
1168 | 1159 | 51% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
1207 | 1200 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2019-12-13 | Lost |
982 | 1429 | 7% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
989 | 1032 | 44% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
989 | 1032 | 44% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
943 | 1198 | 19% | 2019-06-18 | Lost |
1026 | 1043 | 48% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
998 | 899 | 64% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
998 | 899 | 64% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
1029 | 998 | 54% | 2017-09-13 | Lost |
1026 | 1086 | 41% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
1101 | 1086 | 52% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1101 | 1086 | 52% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1175 | 1126 | 57% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
893 | 1109 | 22% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
870 | 881 | 48% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
881 | 971 | 37% | 2016-07-25 | Tied |
881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1178 | 1429 | 19% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
1178 | 1429 | 19% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
892 | 926 | 45% | 2015-08-14 | Won |
1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
926 | 892 | 55% | 2015-06-20 | Won |
906 | 970 | 41% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
971 | 926 | 56% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
988 | 847 | 69% | 2014-06-02 | Won |
1083 | 1057 | 54% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
992 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-05-02 | Won |
1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-05-02 | Won |
869 | 908 | 44% | 2014-03-09 | Lost |
1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
1124 | 984 | 69% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-16 | Won |
926 | 909 | 52% | 2013-12-10 | Lost |
1044 | 1016 | 54% | 2013-05-04 | Won |
1178 | 1429 | 19% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
1026 | 971 | 58% | 2012-07-24 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-07 | Won |
1023 | 985 | 55% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2010-04-21 | Lost |
1083 | 959 | 67% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
982 | 1012 | 46% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2009-09-29 | Lost |
1157 | 964 | 75% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
952 | 946 | 51% | 2009-05-11 | Lost |
997 | 1014 | 48% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
1216 | 1055 | 72% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2008-05-08 | Lost |
946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-06 | Lost |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2008-02-11 | Won |
1041 | 971 | 60% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2007-05-01 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2007-02-24 | Won |
987 | 1047 | 41% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2006-04-16 | Lost |
1097 | 978 | 66% | 2005-11-14 | Lost |
1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
887 | 978 | 37% | 2004-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (47 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1033.7 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).