A Long Way To Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1039 | 43% | 2024-11-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 865 | 69% | 2024-08-22 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 865 | 910 | 44% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1034 | 1036 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 865 | 1266 | 9% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2023-04-17 | Lost |
| 1067 | 865 | 76% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 856 | 861 | 49% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
| 856 | 865 | 49% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
| 1043 | 1030 | 52% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 865 | 63% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 861 | 856 | 51% | 2022-04-25 | Lost |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 898 | 65% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 989 | 53% | 2021-07-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 898 | 65% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1085 | 41% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 976 | 1037 | 41% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 927 | 940 | 48% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2019-12-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1190 | 1431 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1173 | 25% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-10-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1036 | 65% | 2018-03-09 | Won |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 911 | 70% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 1059 | 911 | 70% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1097 | 51% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 960 | 927 | 55% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2016-07-29 | Tied |
| 884 | 927 | 44% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1147 | 58% | 2015-08-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1164 | 1228 | 41% | 2014-10-17 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1164 | 59% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1082 | 972 | 65% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 898 | 69% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 923 | 1036 | 34% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2010-07-14 | Lost |
| 992 | 1012 | 47% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-10-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1087 | 41% | 2009-02-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1024 | 75% | 2009-01-18 | Won |
| 976 | 1009 | 45% | 2008-08-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1032 | 48% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 964 | 74% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 964 | 74% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1093 | 42% | 2007-02-10 | Won |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1015.2 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).