Priority Target
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (67 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (Allied): 73
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 913 | 82% | 2023-10-21 | Won |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-08-28 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
1164 | 1182 | 47% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
956 | 1429 | 6% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
1017 | 924 | 63% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
1041 | 1015 | 54% | 2022-04-29 | Won |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1083 | 1085 | 50% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
1049 | 1429 | 10% | 2022-01-08 | Lost |
1011 | 985 | 54% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
926 | 926 | 50% | 2021-11-03 | Won |
880 | 833 | 57% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
880 | 1143 | 18% | 2021-08-16 | Lost |
1031 | 1187 | 29% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
984 | 1012 | 46% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1429 | 1018 | 91% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
926 | 937 | 48% | 2021-04-15 | Lost |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
1173 | 937 | 80% | 2020-07-29 | Won |
1208 | 1160 | 57% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
997 | 989 | 51% | 2020-03-31 | Lost |
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
1429 | 1427 | 50% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2019-12-18 | Won |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2019-10-18 | Won |
1159 | 974 | 74% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
954 | 1049 | 37% | 2019-03-03 | Won |
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
998 | 911 | 62% | 2017-11-07 | Won |
1128 | 1183 | 42% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
1017 | 1002 | 52% | 2017-02-05 | Won |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
881 | 1017 | 31% | 2016-08-06 | Tied |
1063 | 926 | 69% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
995 | 982 | 52% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
1079 | 1061 | 53% | 2014-06-12 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-01-04 | Lost |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2012-10-24 | Lost |
1026 | 997 | 54% | 2012-10-23 | Won |
887 | 1010 | 33% | 2012-06-01 | Won |
1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
930 | 941 | 48% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
1033 | 1115 | 38% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
1012 | 1003 | 51% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2009-11-25 | Won |
1047 | 924 | 67% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
1115 | 1052 | 59% | 2009-06-17 | Won |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2008-03-02 | Won |
914 | 1017 | 36% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
1017 | 914 | 64% | 2007-12-15 | Won |
964 | 987 | 47% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
1003 | 956 | 57% | 2007-03-03 | Lost |
1003 | 1010 | 49% | 2007-02-17 | Won |
1317 | 987 | 87% | 2006-10-25 | Lost |
941 | 1062 | 33% | 2006-08-04 | Lost |
984 | 1115 | 32% | 2006-06-10 | Lost |
1010 | 1017 | 49% | 2006-04-11 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-30 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1044.4 has a 49.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).