Beyond the Pakfronts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (11 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1020 | 64% | 2026-03-03 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2014-10-28 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2012-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 1998-07-04 | | Won |
| 982 | 1185 | 24% | 1996-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-09-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1086.6 has a 41.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).