Beyond the Pakfronts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (11 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2026-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1039 | 61% | 2026-03-03 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2014-10-28 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1187 | 41% | 2012-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-07-04 | | Won |
| 982 | 1134 | 29% | 1996-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 1995-09-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1087.9 has a 41.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).