Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 167 (10 on the archive and 157 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 990 | 15% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2004-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2002-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 899 | 80% | 2001-08-17 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2000-11-20 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1999-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 982 | 73% | 1996-04-16 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1043.2 has a 43.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).