Hana-Saku
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 25
Defender wins (Canadian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 909 | 64% | 2019-09-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1004 | 63% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1044 | 40% | 2009-09-05 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-07-03 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1277 | 20% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 928 | 61% | 2004-01-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1028 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1032.5 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).