Hana-Saku
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 25
Defender wins (Canadian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 927 | 61% | 2019-09-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1093 | 1004 | 63% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1114 | 35% | 2009-09-05 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-07-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 936 | 60% | 2004-01-27 | Lost |
| 901 | 1024 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1034.1 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).