High Danger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (10 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Australian / British): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2017-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2013-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-03-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2008-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 980 | 63% | 2002-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 1999-10-31 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1997-04-25 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1032.7 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).