The Warlord's Estate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (8 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2024-06-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1020 | 46% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 1169 | 46% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1189 | 49% | 2012-07-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1065 | 61% | 2009-09-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2009-07-02 | Won |
| 1248 | 1073 | 73% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2007-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1124.8 vs 1054 has a 60.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).