The Warlord's Estate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (8 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1011 | 46% | 2024-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1097 | 46% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2012-07-29 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1064 | 61% | 2009-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2009-07-02 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2009-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1185 | 27% | 2007-08-30 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1100.6 vs 1022.1 has a 61.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).