The Warlord's Estate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (8 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2024-06-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1152 | 940 | 77% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1135 | 65% | 2012-07-29 | Won |
| 1152 | 1066 | 62% | 2009-09-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2009-07-02 | Won |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1127 | 49% | 2007-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1121 vs 998.6 has a 66.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).