Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 907 | 50% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 843 | 85% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 953 | 1162 | 23% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1008 | 70% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1015 | 62% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 918 | 67% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 961 | 1075 | 34% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1058 | 62% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1416 | 8% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1075 | 918 | 71% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1029.5 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).