Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 937 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1148 | 869 | 83% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1148 | 994 | 71% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
952 | 1139 | 25% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1184 | 1022 | 72% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1110 | 1047 | 59% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
867 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1044 | 880 | 72% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
1018 | 1102 | 38% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
960 | 1056 | 37% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
958 | 1025 | 40% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
1148 | 917 | 79% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1400 | 9% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
1056 | 880 | 73% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1027.1 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).