Down Radio Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (12 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 1010 | 76% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 898 | 1071 | 27% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1012 | 57% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1265 | 1174 | 63% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2009-01-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 939 | 62% | 2008-11-07 | Won |
| 1037 | 1196 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2008-05-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1151 | 36% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1049.2 has a 55.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).