Down Radio Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (12 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1123 | 56% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 940 | 1060 | 33% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1012 | 57% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2009-01-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1030 | 49% | 2008-11-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1196 | 26% | 2008-05-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2008-05-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1152 | 36% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1050.3 has a 55.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).