Firefight Before Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (8 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1132 | 49% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 963 | 998 | 45% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2009-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1112 | 40% | 2007-03-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-01-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-01-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1123 | 37% | 2003-03-28 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1997-05-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1053.1 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).