Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (12 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 981 | 71% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 914 | 1061 | 30% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1087 | 32% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 975 | 1029 | 42% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1153 | 17% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 973 | 74% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1153 | 53% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1148 | 53% | 2006-11-04 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2005-06-23 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1068 | 61% | 2001-07-01 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2000-05-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.3 vs 1090.2 has a 37.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).