Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (12 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 981 | 62% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 900 | 1061 | 28% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 764 | 1087 | 13% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 1029 | 43% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 882 | 1163 | 17% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1163 | 978 | 74% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1152 | 52% | 2006-11-04 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-06-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1074 | 61% | 2001-07-01 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2000-05-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 977.8 vs 1088 has a 34.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).