Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 999 | 53% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1058 | 30% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 1029 | 38% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 883 | 1121 | 20% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1121 | 977 | 70% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1121 | 60% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1140 | 55% | 2006-11-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1150 | 44% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2005-06-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2001-07-01 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2000-05-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1263 | 1149 | 66% | 1997-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1086.2 has a 40.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).