Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (8 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1044 | 53% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 880 | 1051 | 27% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 1088 | 31% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 1029 | 41% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1130 | 26% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1130 | 986 | 70% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1130 | 55% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1065.3 has a 43.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).