Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 994 | 56% | 2024-11-22 | | Won |
| 943 | 1034 | 37% | 2024-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-08-27 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-02-26 | | Won |
| 883 | 1126 | 20% | 2011-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2011-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1126 | 59% | 2011-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1141 | 55% | 2006-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-10-14 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2005-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-07-01 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2000-05-26 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1997-11-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1068.3 has a 42.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).