House of Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 7
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 952 | 46% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1145 | 953 | 75% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1074 | 82% | 2015-12-29 | Won |
| 1333 | 968 | 89% | 2015-05-10 | Won |
| 1154 | 1100 | 58% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 907 | 943 | 45% | 2005-03-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1005 | 49% | 2004-04-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1193 | 42% | 2002-09-29 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-08-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-03-05 | Won |
| 866 | 1063 | 24% | 1998-05-31 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1997-12-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1049.8 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).