House of Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (British): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 986 | 36% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1144 | 947 | 76% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1088 | 70% | 2015-12-29 | Won |
| 1234 | 968 | 82% | 2015-05-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1101 | 57% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 996 | 942 | 58% | 2005-03-12 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1004 | 58% | 2004-04-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1175 | 49% | 2002-09-29 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-08-17 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1095 | 81% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-03-05 | Won |
| 866 | 1060 | 25% | 1998-05-31 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1997-12-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1054 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).