Raiders of the Chaco
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (7 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bolivian): 18
Defender wins (Paraguayan): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-08-21 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-02-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1147 | 34% | 2011-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2005-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2003-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1134 | 69% | 1998-06-07 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1047 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).