Raiders of the Chaco
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (7 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bolivian): 18
Defender wins (Paraguayan): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1043 | 48% | 2025-08-21 | Won |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 904 | 1031 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1098 | 41% | 2011-09-11 | Won |
| 889 | 927 | 45% | 2005-04-16 | Won |
| 1188 | 1045 | 69% | 2003-10-06 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1159 | 65% | 1998-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1055.6 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).