A Victory for Early Polish Armor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 1000 | 72% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1066 | 60% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1057 | 1068 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1119.3 vs 1044.7 has a 60.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).