Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1182 | 37% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 951 | 995 | 44% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 879 | 60% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1092 | 939 | 71% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1131 | 741 | 90% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 986.8 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).