Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1150 | 1162 | 48% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
1020 | 1016 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
1225 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
1070 | 940 | 68% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
1016 | 1159 | 31% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1051 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).