Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1182 | 31% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 967 | 994 | 46% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 879 | 62% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1072 | 930 | 69% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1013 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).