Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1182 | 30% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 951 | 994 | 44% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1042 | 930 | 66% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 734 | 1084 | 12% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1084 | 734 | 88% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 984.4 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).