The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1183 | 1182 | 50% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
1026 | 1083 | 42% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
862 | 882 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
1040 | 971 | 60% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1034.6 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).