The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1182 | 31% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 977 | 1018 | 44% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 1077 | 47% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 975 | 60% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2009-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 997.5 vs 1029 has a 45.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).