The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1182 | 36% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 947 | 63% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1041 | 53% | 2009-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1031.7 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).