Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 830 | 938 | 35% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1011 | 53% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1150 | 35% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 891 | 66% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 1055 | 66% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1147 | 1027 | 67% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1027 | 53% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 1037 | 57% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1203 | 1042 | 72% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 836 | 992 | 29% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1002 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1405 | 992 | 92% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1309 | 976 | 87% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1183 | 1060 | 67% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1143 | 34% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 964 | 83% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1012 | 53% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1036.2 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).