Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1114 | 30% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 950 | 1075 | 33% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 786 | 1018 | 21% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1139 | 27% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1152 | 42% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 985 | 60% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1159 | 1110 | 57% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1143 | 992 | 70% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 1283 | 1138 | 70% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 988 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 835 | 879 | 44% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1007 | 50% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1423 | 993 | 92% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1252 | 987 | 82% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1004 | 60% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1094 | 39% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 994 | 60% | 2009-08-28 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1055 | 74% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1176 | 30% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 975 | 82% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1045 | 67% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1221 | 1068 | 71% | 2006-02-28 | Won |
| 955 | 1068 | 34% | 2006-01-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1140 | 32% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1051 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).