Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1134 | 27% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 786 | 976 | 25% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 983 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1152 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 951 | 61% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1161 | 41% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1142 | 992 | 70% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1042 | 1063 | 47% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 1027 | 58% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 833 | 965 | 32% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 993 | 1009 | 48% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1434 | 994 | 93% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1219 | 987 | 79% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1096 | 46% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 917 | 982 | 41% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1167 | 29% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 994 | 59% | 2009-08-28 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1053 | 69% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1198 | 27% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1011 | 79% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1060 | 65% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1224 | 1060 | 72% | 2006-02-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1060 | 36% | 2006-01-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1141 | 34% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1062.6 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).