Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 849 | 920 | 40% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1053 | 51% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1034 | 977 | 58% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 968 | 1140 | 27% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1149 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 907 | 66% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1045 | 60% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1148 | 1011 | 69% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1091 | 1011 | 61% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1077 | 1020 | 58% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 838 | 937 | 36% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1001 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1400 | 992 | 91% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 976 | 87% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1148 | 1060 | 62% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1183 | 29% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1244 | 966 | 83% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1063 | 46% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1035 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).