Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1114 | 28% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 961 | 1191 | 21% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 806 | 1044 | 20% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 988 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1151 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 909 | 69% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 999 | 68% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1144 | 999 | 70% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 891 | 81% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1063 | 1127 | 41% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 834 | 950 | 34% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 987 | 54% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1415 | 992 | 92% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1328 | 976 | 88% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1003 | 59% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1177 | 1052 | 67% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1154 | 33% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 934 | 86% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1028 | 69% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1220 | 985 | 79% | 2006-02-28 | Won |
| 945 | 985 | 44% | 2006-01-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1040.4 has a 53.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).